By Tenzin Tamang. AI sees climate change as "hotter" than experts do. Our research explores this overestimation bias in LLMs. Ever asked an AI chatbot about climate change? Many of us turn to these powerful tools for quick information, but our new research reveals a surprising quirk: AI models tend to "see hotter", frequently overestimating the impacts of climate change compared to the consensus of expert scientists. This tendency to exaggerate gets even stronger when we ask the AI to respond as if it were a climate scientist. What we did We took statements about climate change impacts directly from the highly respected Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2023 Synthesis Report. For each statement, the IPCC provides a specific confidence level (e.g., low, medium, or high). We then presented these same scenarios to popular GPT-family models and asked them to rate their confidence in two conditions: (1) directly, and (2) acting as a climate scientist. Wha...
By Robin Bayes. Photo Credit: John Englart On July 4, 2025, American climate policy was upended as the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) rolled back or canceled many clean energy tax incentives in the United States. Supporters touted this move while opponents lambasted it, each side claiming the moral high ground. While Republican House Budget Committee members argued that the OBBBA stops climate activism as a weapon to harm working families , the Committee’s Democratic caucus argued that it betrays the middle class by killing clean energy jobs and investments. When political messaging uses this kind of harm-based moral rhetoric to escalate the climate policy debate, there may be lasting consequences. Moralizing science and technology is associated with divisive characteristics In a recent short article published in Public Understanding of Science , I examine how moralization affects the way everyday people approach policy debates about science and technology....